End of October Allocation Changes, 10-30-2014

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10/31/2014 Morning Update:

I fat-fingered the S-Fund -- the correct value is in bold (51%, I had listed 59%).

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Effective with the last day of the month, I'm moving my allocations to:

C-Fund:  39%
I-Fund:  10%
S-Fund:   51%

These are aggressive values, as nothing is being held in G-Fund.  My time horizon is longer than most (11 years), so I can afford to take a bit more risk.

If you are more conservative, allocations which include holding some back in cash are:

G-Fund:  25%
C-Fund:  29%
I-Fund:  7%
S-Fund:  39%

Equally-blended in the C-, I-, and S-Funds (e.g. 33% each) produced these results since 11/25/08:

For those of you who are following my movements, I use a timing system that is applied to the numbers above.

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I have made the changes in my TSP account.  As long as the changes are posted by 12:00 pm on Friday they will apply for October and will NOT count against the 2x transfers we can use in November.

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As with all my postings, you are responsible for your own investments and I am not.  Please do your diligence, and please take ownership for your actions.

Regards,

pgd

Reversal Signal - Thurs, Oct 9 Close Update

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I entered the TSP funds with the close of markets today, only to have yesterday's signal reverse.  All indications are "back to cash".

As I indicated yesterday, the initial entry position was 50% cash, 50% equities.  I'm now there.  The reversal indicates that we should transition back to cash, BUT, if I do this, I cannot invest for the rest of the month since we only get two transfers per month.

Correspondingly, because my time frame is long, I'm sitting pat with the allocations established yesterday.  I intend to stay the course.

Of course, your actual mileage may vary.

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Standard disclaimers apply.

Regards,

pgd

New Entry Signal, Wednesday, October 8th Close

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With the close of markets on Wednesday, October 8th, we have a new buy signal for the TSP portfolio.

This is an early signal, and my cash requirements suggest that no more than 50% of the account be placed in equities.

Given this allocations for Thursday, October 9th are:

G-Fund:  50%
C-Fund:  32%
I-Fund:  12%
S-Fund:  6%

This is a conservative allocation, and it is very possible that if this run continues we could see a fully-invested amount quite soon.

This will use one of the two transfers that we have available for the month of October.

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As with all my postings, you must do your own diligence and take ownership for your own trades.  Please accept responsibility for your actions.  I have no responsibility for what YOU do with YOUR money ... this is simply what I'm doing with MY money.

Regards,

pgd