Wednesday, September 11, 2013

Signal change effective Wednesday, September 11

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Effective with the close of markets on 9/11/13, my TSP timing system has confirmed a move long.  I have entered the order with www.tsp.gov to move from 100% G-Fund (cash) to the following aggressive allocations:

Aggressive:

C-Fund:  18%
I-Fund:  49%
S-Fund:  33%

For those of you who would like to be less aggressive, a more conservative allocation is as follows:

Conservative:


C-Fund:  23%
F-Fund:  8%
I-Fund:  38%
S-Fund:  31%

Because my order is entered before noon ET, it will take place with the closing prices of 9/12/13.

To date the system has returned the following:


Key here is that the system gets you out of a trade relatively quickly, limiting the downside.  I took a few months off this past year so my actual blended performance is lower:


Note that this was with virtually no drawdown.

September is classically a terrible month so we'll see if this signal holds.

Regards,

Paul