Please make sure you take time to read my other entry here.
With the close of markets on Wednesday, February 12th, my medium-termed TSP timer has transitioned to LONG status.
I am moving TENTATIVELY (with care) into the markets in my TSP account with the following allocations:
I'm not too optimistic about this signal, but then again, my crystal ball is as good as yours. I follow my timers, as they are better than my intuition.
The historical performance of this timer is simply okay. Not stellar, but better than buy and hold by a long shot:
Market exposure is roughly 50% for all equity positions, so historically, being in the market 50% of the time has produced the gains you see above since 8/29/2008.
My high concentration in G-Fund is because my LONG TERM TIMER is in CASH. This may change in the next few days, or it may not. Since we have a restriction in the TSP world of 2 transfers per month, today's change will burn any re-balance hopes until March 1st. C'est la vie.
As always, do your own diligence, and take ownership for your actions. I am not responsible for any decisions that you make with your own accounts.
Regards,
pgd
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