Tuesday, Sept 30 Morning Update

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No changes.

I indicated that I would look deeply at the end-of-the month signal I just received that moved me to 100% cash and that I would post whether some equity position was required.

We have 2 transfers per month available with the TSP funds.  These transfers can be however we choose, but the final transfer must be a sweep to cash (G-Fund).  It would be nice to use the available transfer (today before noon EDT) and leave two transfers for October.

While I believe that we are experiencing end-of-the-month and end-of-the quarter window dressing, and that historically, the first few weeks of October are generally positive, there is nothing in my indicators that says we should move into the markets.  There is a risk/reward component to this, and when I move against my indicators, it becomes speculation, not investing.  If I moved into the equity funds today it would be pure speculation.

I'm sitting 100% in the G-fund, and will end the quarter this way.  The next signal to move into the equity funds could be tomorrow (October 1) or it could be much, much later.  Your crystal ball is as good as mine.  Invest in the markets that are presented to you, not the one that you want.

Regards,

pgd

Moving to 100% G-Fund, Thurs, Sep 25th Update

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Effective with the close of markets on Thursday, September 25th, my indicators are showing that I need to move to 100% cash.

I am moving all TSP monies to the G-Fund, effective with the close on Friday, 9/26.

I will use the weekend to evaluate if we need to use our 2nd transfer to some form of equity balance -- right now, the answer is cash.

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As with all my ramblings, you are responsible for your own trading/investing decisions and I am not.  Please do your own diligence, and please take ownership for your actions.

Regards,

pgd