Monday, September 5, 2011

Weekend Update for September 2nd

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Changes to the account were made on August 31st in accordance with the previous post.  Since that time we've lost -0.574% in the account with the broader markets losing between -2.8% and -4.5%, but on a rolling-year basis we're up nearly +10.35%, so we're doing well.  The aggressive strategies that I use in my wife's TSP account showed that August was a good month for us, where we caught +2.9% gain with only about 1/3 exposure to the markets.  Note that over this time frame the S&P500 lost a bit more than 5% and drawdown was considerably more.

Looking forward to the next few weeks, your crystal ball is as good as mine.  This being said, the following document gives you some perspective on the market from an professional view.  Pay particular attention to the comments about the SPX falling through 1100 and ultimately testing as low as 1018, which will certainly cause me to move all our equity exposure to cash as soon as 1100 is penetrated.  Conversely, if 1100 is tested and holds, then I'll more than likely become more bullish and expose a bit more to the equity side of the markets.

To recap, we're 79% in the G-Fund (money markets), 12% in the F-Fund (bonds), 5% in the C-Fund (S&P500), 3% in the S-Fund (ex-S&P500), and 1% in the I-Fund (international).  I'm holding this allocation into the upcoming week.

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Remember, you are responsible for your own trading, and I am not.  Please do your diligence, and please take ownership for your actions.

Regards,

pgd


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