.
Effective with the close of markets on 5/29, my timer system has indicated that I should move to cash.
Orders placed before noon today (5/30) will be effective tonight at the close.
New allocation: 100% G-Fund.
Remember, you are responsible for your own decisions, and I am not. Please do your own diligence, and please take ownership for your actions.
Regards,
Paul
Do you have your retirement in the Government's Thrift Savings Plan (TSP)? If so, here's a method to move your funds in and out, subject to the 2x per month criteria, so that you don't get slammed the next time the market decides to go south. I use a system that I've developed to time this system to prevent major drawdowns while having fairly good yearly returns. I manage my wife's TSP fund with this technique, so it's for real.
Thursday, May 30, 2013
Sunday, May 5, 2013
Sell in May and Go Away? Not Now: New Long Signal
.
As much as we all like to believe the rhyme "Sell in May and go away" we're not seeing those indications right now. Of course, your crystal ball is as good as mine and it is quite possible that the rest of the month will be poor, but we must follow the signals as they are generated.
With the close of markets on Friday, May 3rd, my timer system is indicating that we should move long into equities with respect to the TSP. Here are the allocations:
F-Fund: +4%
C-Fund: + 28%
I-Fund: +41%
S-Fund: +27%
The Aggressive Portfolio is coming up with some incredibly wild allocations -- I'm NOT going with this but I'll post it for your consideration:
C-Fund: 20%
I-Fund: 63%
S-Fund: 17%
The heavy allocation in I-Fund is due to a number of internal weights, and right now, the international market is firing on all cylinders. Too much weighting in one group for me, but it *is* a diversified group and it may continue to do well going forward.
For those of you keeping score, here is the scorecard through Friday:
As always, you are responsible for your own decisions, and I am not. Please do your diligence, and please take ownership for your actions.
Regards,
pgd
As much as we all like to believe the rhyme "Sell in May and go away" we're not seeing those indications right now. Of course, your crystal ball is as good as mine and it is quite possible that the rest of the month will be poor, but we must follow the signals as they are generated.
With the close of markets on Friday, May 3rd, my timer system is indicating that we should move long into equities with respect to the TSP. Here are the allocations:
F-Fund: +4%
C-Fund: + 28%
I-Fund: +41%
S-Fund: +27%
The Aggressive Portfolio is coming up with some incredibly wild allocations -- I'm NOT going with this but I'll post it for your consideration:
C-Fund: 20%
I-Fund: 63%
S-Fund: 17%
The heavy allocation in I-Fund is due to a number of internal weights, and right now, the international market is firing on all cylinders. Too much weighting in one group for me, but it *is* a diversified group and it may continue to do well going forward.
For those of you keeping score, here is the scorecard through Friday:
As always, you are responsible for your own decisions, and I am not. Please do your diligence, and please take ownership for your actions.
Regards,
pgd
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)